Return attribution is based on
the cross-sectional model of returns:
Kl(t)
= Bi(t-l)Fi(t) + ui(t) (19.4)
where R (?) is
an N-vector of local excess returns (over the local risk-free rate) from time t
- 1 to t; B?{t - 1) is an N X K matrix of exposures to
factors that are available as of t - 1. These factors include investment
styles such as growth or momentum and industry classifications. In the case
where we may want to attribute return to sources that are contemporaneous
(unlike a risk model), the information contained in the exposures matrix will
be as of time t. F it) is a K X 1 vector of returns to factors,
and u'{t) is an N-vector of mean-zero-specific returns from t-\lot.
There
are three steps involved in the return attribution computation based on a
factor model. (In the following discussion, we focus on the managed portfolio.
However, our results generalize to any portfolio type.)
Step 1: Define a set of exposures to factors and
estimate the cross-sectional return model specified by (19.4). This gives
estimates of one-period returns to factors, that is, factor returns from period
t - 1 to t.
Step 2: Compute the local return on the managed
portfolio.
Letting
wp{t - 1) represent an N-vector of managed portfolio weights
at time t -1, the return on the managed portfolio is given by
rl{t)
= w*(t-l)TRUt) = b*(t-l)TFUt) + ul(t) (19-5)
where rp
(t)
b"(t-l)
F\t)
uUt)
Managed local excess portfolio return from period t-ltot K-vector
of managed portfolio exposures K-vector of factor returns Specific local
portfolio return
Step 3: Quantify the sources of local return. For
example, a managed portfolio with N assets has K + N sources of return-K
sources from factor returns and N sources from specific returns (one for
each asset).
The source
of return from the &th factor is given by the component
Si(t)
= b*(t-l)%(t) for*
= l, ...,1C (19.6)
The specific
return contribution from the nxh asset is simply the return on that
asset's specific return times its portfolio weight.
Si{t)
= w*{t-\)un{t) "=1,
. . . ,N (19.7)
Hence, the portfolio
return is the sum of K + N sources of return and can be written as